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Prediction for CME (2019-10-25T05:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2019-10-25T05:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/15126/-1
CME Note: From Teresa Nieves-Chinchilla: The magnetic field and plasma parameters exhibit signatures of an ICME - stronger B that the ambient solar wind, expanding structure and low temperature. I would say that this is probably a very beautiful CME-streamer blow-out. You probably did not see any disk signatures, dimming, flares but this is why it is so slow, weak, and with barely a sheath region or shock.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T15:02Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2019-10-29T11:01Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

% Compiled module: EAM_V2.
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Most pr. speed = 275.0 km/s 
u_r =      323.9 km/s
Acceleration:      0.44 m/s^2
Duration in seconds:        364050.73
Duration in days:        4.2135501
t2 is negative
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Acceleration of the CME:   0.44 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  484.7 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 29/10/2019 Time: 11:01 UT

Lead Time: 52.03 hour(s)
Difference: 4.02 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2019-10-27T11:00Z

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